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Reproductive & Sexual Health

Reproductive Ageing Explained:
How Fertility Changes with Age in Women and Men

Aevum Protocol8 min read

The reproductive system ages faster than almost any other part of the body. A woman is born with all the eggs she will ever have, and that supply falls steadily: by 30, most women have about 12% of their peak egg supply left, and by 40, about 3%. Fertility begins to decline gradually from around 32 and more steeply after 37, and the risk of miscarriage rises from about 10% in the late 20s to over 50% at 45 and older. Men keep producing sperm throughout life, but male reproductive ageing is real too: semen quality declines with age, and each extra year of a father's age adds about two new genetic mutations passed on to a child. Reproductive ageing also matters beyond fertility, because the timing of menopause and changes in male hormones are linked to long-term heart, bone and metabolic health. This article explains how and why reproductive ageing happens in both sexes, and what it means for health and family planning.

Key numbers

FindingDetail
Ovarian reserve (eggs remaining)About 12% of the peak supply left by 30, and about 3% by 40
Female fertility (US professional guidance)Declines gradually from about 32 and more rapidly after 37
Miscarriage by mother's age (421,201 pregnancies, Norway)Lowest at 25-29 (about 10%); 53% at 45 and older
Father's age and new mutations (78 families, Iceland)About 2 extra new mutations in the child per year of the father's age, doubling every 16.5 years
Semen quality and male age (90 studies, about 94,000 men)Consistent declines in semen volume and sperm performance, with more abnormal and DNA-damaged sperm

How female reproductive ageing works

A baby girl's ovaries contain hundreds of thousands of immature eggs, each inside a small sac called a follicle. This "ovarian reserve" peaks before birth and then declines continuously, through natural loss rather than ovulation: only about 400-500 eggs are ever released over a lifetime.

A model combining eight studies estimated that the reserve peaks at about 300,000 follicles per ovary around 20 weeks of pregnancy. For most women, only about 12% of this peak remains by age 30 and about 3% by 40. When the supply falls to around a thousand, periods stop: menopause, which happens on average around 51-52.

Line chart, the ovarian reserve over a lifetime: the share of peak egg supply is highest before birth and falls continuously, to about 12% at age 30 and about 3% at age 40, with menopause around 51-52 (Wallace & Kelsey, PLoS ONE, 2010)

Egg quality declines too. With age, more eggs have the wrong number of chromosomes, which makes conception less likely and raises the risk of miscarriage and chromosomal conditions such as Down syndrome. This is why age matters more than egg numbers alone, and why a woman's chance of pregnancy per cycle falls with age even when her periods remain regular.

What this means for fertility. American professional guidance states that female fertility "decreases gradually but significantly beginning approximately at age 32 years and decreases more rapidly after age 37 years." It recommends that women over 35 seek a fertility assessment after 6 months of trying without success, rather than the usual 12, and that women over 40 be assessed sooner (see How Fertility Works).

A Norwegian study of 421,201 pregnancies found the risk of miscarriage was lowest, about 10%, in women aged 25-29, and rose to 53% in women aged 45 and over. Overall, 12.8% of pregnancies ended in miscarriage.

Bar chart, miscarriage risk rises with age: 10% of pregnancies ended in miscarriage at age 25-29 and 53% at 45 and over, against 12.8% across all ages (Magnus et al., BMJ, 2019, 421,201 pregnancies in Norway)

How male reproductive ageing works

Men produce new sperm throughout life, so there's no equivalent of menopause. But male reproduction ages more gradually:

Stat tiles, men's reproductive health ages too: about 2 new mutations in the child for each extra year of the father's age, the number of new mutations from the father doubling every 16.5 years, and semen volume and sperm performance declining with age (Kong et al., Nature, 2012; Johnson et al., Ageing Research Reviews, 2015)

Why reproductive ageing matters for longevity

Reproductive ageing is more than a fertility issue. It's a window into overall health:

Practical notes

References
  1. Wallace WHB, Kelsey TW. Human ovarian reserve from conception to the menopause. PLoS ONE, 2010;5(1):e8772.
  2. American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists and American Society for Reproductive Medicine. Female age-related fertility decline. Committee Opinion No. 589. Fertility and Sterility, 2014;101(3):633-634.
  3. Magnus MC, et al. Role of maternal age and pregnancy history in risk of miscarriage: prospective register based study. BMJ, 2019;364:l869.
  4. Kong A, et al. Rate of de novo mutations and the importance of father's age to disease risk. Nature, 2012;488(7412):471-475.
  5. Johnson SL, et al. Consistent age-dependent declines in human semen quality: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Ageing Research Reviews, 2015;19:22-33.
  6. Zhu D, et al. Age at natural menopause and risk of incident cardiovascular disease: a pooled analysis of individual patient data. The Lancet Public Health, 2019;4(11):e553-e564.

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